probable Intel
A signal layer for using prediction markets as live intelligence
Products, feeds, dashboards, and research pathways that make market data more usable across policy, macro, technology, and operator workflows.
Overview
Designed to bridge raw market activity and usable decision support
probable Intel is where market structure and market signal meet. The goal is not just more data. It is a better way to read what event markets are actually saying.
For operators, funds, and researchers, the value of prediction markets depends on how quickly signal can be extracted from fragmented contracts, venue movement, and narrative shifts.
That is why the Intel layer combines direct product surfaces like dashboards and APIs with outward-facing research pathways that route users into the broader probable Intel platform.
Products
Products built around live market context
Each surface is designed to help a different user move from observation to action with less translation work.
PMSI
The Prediction Market Sentiment Index for translating fragmented market activity into a coherent signal layer.
Data Feeds
Structured market data products for downstream trading, research, editorial, and operational workflows.
Dashboards / Terminal
A command-center view across venues, contracts, and narrative shifts for teams that need live market context.
Alerts & Signals
Event-driven notifications for market movement, regime changes, and narrative inflection points.
APIs
Integration-ready access for funds, operators, and internal tooling that want raw data plus derived intelligence.
Coverage
Coverage across the categories that move markets
The platform begins where prediction markets are already proving useful, then expands into new categories where the format can add clarity.
Politics & Policy
Election, legislative, and regulatory event markets with context for traders and decision-makers.
Macro & Economic
Rates, inflation, growth, and policy-driven contracts viewed through a market-intelligence lens.
Technology & Corporate
Company-specific catalysts, product milestones, and sector narratives tracked through live markets.
Sports
A future expansion path for real-time event coverage and new retail engagement surfaces.
Custom Indices
Tailored tracking products for institutions and operators with a narrower thematic or market mandate.
Use cases
Built for traders, operators, media, and enterprises
The same market signal can support many different workflows. probable Intel is built to flex across them.
Funds & Traders
Use prediction markets as a live signal input for positioning, narrative tracking, and risk framing.
Media & Research
Turn market data into a differentiated source of reporting, context, and audience-facing insight.
Operators
Understand venue behavior, liquidity migration, and category-level movement across the ecosystem.
Market Makers
Assess cross-venue activity and contract behavior through a faster research and monitoring surface.
Enterprises
Bring market-based external signal into internal decision support, communications, and strategic planning.
Insights / research
Follow the live intelligence layer
The most time-sensitive commentary and coverage pathways point directly into the probable Intel platform.
Prediction Market News
Follow ongoing category developments through the probable Intel platform.
Market Commentary
See how market pricing is evolving across narratives, catalysts, and policy regimes.
Regulatory & Litigation News
Track the legal and regulatory developments shaping market access and operator strategy.
Want to see the Intel platform directly?
Open the live product surface to explore dashboards, feeds, and research pathways in context.
Open probable Intel