Fed cuts rates by September?
Yes 58¢
No 42¢
Prediction market infrastructure
We build prediction markets.
Probable designs, engineers, and operates white-label prediction market platforms — from matching engine to mobile app — for operators who want to own the market, not rent it.
Bitcoin above $100k on Dec 31?
Yes 74¢
No 26¢
English club wins the Champions League?
Yes 52¢
No 48¢
Bitcoin above $100k on Dec 31? 74¢ ▼1 Fed cuts rates by September? 58¢ ▼1 English club wins the Champions League? 52¢ ▼2 S&P 500 record close this quarter? 41¢ ▼1 CPI below 3% for Q3? 33¢ ▼1 New frontier model tops the leaderboard in 30 days? 61¢ ▼1 100+ orbital launches this half? 84¢ ▼1 Streaming debut passes 1B hours in 28 days? 22¢ ▲3
White-label
One engine. Any brand.
Every Probable platform ships on a fourteen-role interface contract: one codebase, re-skinned per operator in hours, not sprints. The same live market, rendered four ways:
Bitcoin above $100k on Dec 31?
Yes 74¢
No 26¢
Probable Faithful Our own board, in our own colors.
Capabilities
Everything a market needs to run.
One team for the engine, the apps, and the operation.
Matching & trading engine
Order books, pricing, and settlement built for binary and multi-outcome contracts.
Compliance-ready rails
KYC hooks, jurisdiction gating, and audit trails, informed by the regulatory work of Probable Solutions.
White-label web & mobile
Trader-facing web and native apps, themed to your brand from a single contract.
Liquidity & market operations
Market creation, pricing oversight, and resolution workflows run by people who operate markets daily.
Data & analytics
Order flow, market histories, and signals from Probable Intel.
Exchange integrations
Native connections to Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com, and CME.
How we deliver
From mandate to live market.
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Scope
Regulatory path, market design, and platform architecture — agreed before code.
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Build
Engine, apps, and operations tooling on Probable's platform modules.
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Certify
Testing, audit, and venue integration sign-off.
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Launch
Go-live with market ops, liquidity, and monitoring in place.
14
theme roles per platform
4
exchange integrations
3
divisions, one platform
100%
white-label, end to end
Built for the inevitable.
Tell us about the market you want to run. We'll scope the platform, the licensing path, and the launch plan.