probable / The Docket
Every federal and state case shaping how prediction markets are regulated — status, posture, and the filings that moved each one. Fully public — no account, no wall.
81 cases on the record at last build
Methodology
Every case here is assembled from public court records and then reviewed by hand. Where the record is thin, the page says so instead of filling the gap.
Dockets, filings and party records come from CourtListener and RECAP, the Free Law Project’s public mirrors of PACER. An editorial overlay sits on top of them: captions, posture, significance and the key-event timeline are written and maintained here, because a raw docket line rarely says what a filing meant.
Status is an editorial judgement, not a field any court publishes. Each case therefore carries the date its status was last reviewed, and unknown values — a missing docket number, an unconfirmed status — are shown as unknown. Nothing is inferred to fill a blank.
Case summaries are generated by a language model, labelled with the model and the date they were produced, and rendered as plain text, never as markup. A summary is regenerated only when the underlying docket changes, so it cannot drift away from the record it describes. Summaries are a reading aid; the filings are the source.
The corpus syncs on a schedule, not in real time. The tracker shows when the last sync finished and each case shows its last recorded activity; neither is a claim of live coverage, and a filing entered today may not appear until the next run. Coverage is still expanding toward the full universe of prediction-market litigation.
Corrections are welcome and wanted. If a case is missing, mis-stated or out of date, send it through the contact page below and it will be reviewed against the primary record.
Informational only — not legal advice. Nothing on this page is a representation about the merits, posture or likely outcome of any case, and none of it substitutes for reading the docket itself. Verify against primary sources before relying on any of it.
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The Docket is the public surface. If you need litigation signal wired into your own dashboards, diligence or reporting, start a conversation.